Dealing with financial instability under a DSGE modeling approach with banking intermediation: A predictability analysis versus TVP-VARs

Using VARs and TVP-VARs with Many Macroeconomic Variables

This paper discusses the challenges faced by the empirical macroeconomist and methods for surmounting them. These challenges arise due to the fact that macroeconometric models potentially include a large number of variables and allow for time variation in parameters. These considerations lead to models which have a large number of parameters to estimate relative to the number of observations. A...

International financial networks with intermediation: modeling, analysis, and computations

Designing a Social Banking Model with a Post-Corona Approach

The first part of the economic system that was affected by the outbreak of the Corona pandemic was the banking system of countries. Therefore, the aim of this study was to design a social banking model with a post-corona approach in the country's banking industry, which uses a combination of Delphi-fuzzy method and interpretive structural modeling. In this study, the opinions of university prof...

Financial Intermediation, Leverage, and Macroeconomic Instability

This paper investigates how financial-sector leverage affects macroeconomic instability and welfare. In the model, banks borrow (use leverage) to allocate resources to productive projects and provide liquidity. When banks do not actively issue new equity, aggregate outcomes depend on the level of equity in the financial sector. Equilibrium is inefficient because agents do not internalize how th...

Validating Monetary DSGE models through VARs

* This paper grew out of the Panel Discussion of the workshop " SDGE Models and their use in monetary policy " , held at the European Central Bank, June 5-6, 2001. I would like to thank the participants of the TSM conference in Touluse for comments and suggestions.